Friday 5 October 2012

Two Year Performance Review

The performance in a two-year period is a very weak indicator of a fund’s quality or the effectiveness of a rating methodology. Still it gives a small hint about both.

In the two-year period from 02-Oct-2010 to 01-Oct-2012, Equity funds are down 3-4%, Equity-oriented Hybrid funds are flat or mildly positive, Sensex and Nifty are down 4%, Mid Cap Index is down 10% and Small Cap Index is down 17%.

Compared to them, the 2* - 5* funds are down 1-2% and the 1* funds are down a bit more than 4%. I guess the aim of avoiding extremely volatile funds is on track. Rest of it looks purely random, like it did one year ago.

Groups 5-star 4-star 3-star 2-star 1-star
Returns -1.39  -1.11  -2.10  -1.02  -4.26

PS: The apparently consistent good performance of 2* funds could be due to their average-tracking nature i.e. these funds should not be recovering so well when the market is on an upside move. But we need to wait for this to be proved.

One Year Performance (Class of October 2011)

In the one-year period from 02-Oct-2011 to 01-Oct-2012, Equity funds are up 14-16%, Equity-oriented Hybrid funds are up 14%, Sensex and Nifty are up 15%, Mid Cap Index is up 9% and Small Cap Index is up 3%.

Compared to them, the rated funds are also up in the narrow 14%-16% range though the performance of 4* and 5* funds is a bit better. So, no obvious conclusions yet.

Groups 5-star 4-star 3-star 2-star 1-star
Returns 15.58  15.61  14.42  14.71  14.95

Mutual Fund Ratings: October 2012

Fund Name
Risk
Return
Rating
HDFC Prudence
Below Average
Very High
*****
SBI Magnum FMCG
Low
Above Average
*****
DSPBR Balanced
Very Low
Above Average
*****
UTI Dividend Yield
Below Average
Very High
*****
HDFC Balanced
Low
Above Average
*****
Tata Balanced
Below Average
High
*****
ICICI Prudential FMCG
Low
Above Average
*****
Canara Robeco Balance
Low
Above Average
*****
Reliance Pharma
Average
Very High
*****
Birla Sun Life 95
Low
Above Average
*****
Reliance Regular Savings Balanced
Low
Above Average
*****
Birla Sun Life Asset Allocation Aggressive
Very Low
Average
*****
DSPBR Top 100 Equity Reg
Below Average
Above Average
*****
Birla Sun Life MNC
Below Average
Above Average
*****
FT India Life Stage FoF 20s
Low
Average
*****
UTI MNC
Below Average
Above Average
*****
Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus
Average
High
****
UTI Opportunities
Average
Above Average
****
UTI Pharma & Healthcare
Low
Average
****
ICICI Prudential Dynamic
Average
High
****
HDFC Top 200
Average
Very High
****
HDFC Children's Gift-Inv
Low
Below Average
****
HDFC Growth
Average
High
****
Fidelity Equity
Average
High
****
FT India Balanced
Very Low
Below Average
****
Templeton India CAP Gift Plan
Very Low
Below Average
****
UTI Equity
Below Average
Average
****
Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity
Average
High
****
Franklin India Bluechip
Average
Above Average
****
Canara Robeco Equity Tax Saver
Above Average
Very High
****
DSPBR Equity
Above Average
High
****
Franklin India Prima Plus
Average
Above Average
****
Sahara Growth
Below Average
Average
****
Kotak Balance
Very Low
Low
****
Birla Sun Life India GenNext
Average
Average
****
HDFC Index Sensex Plus
Average
Average
****
Franklin India Taxshield
Average
Average
****
Canara Robeco Equity Diversified
Above Average
High
****
Tata Pure Equity
Average
Average
****
Principal Retail Equity Savings
Below Average
Below Average
****
HDFC Equity
High
Very High
****
Sahara Tax Gain
Above Average
Above Average
****
ICICI Prudential Balanced
Low
Low
****
Sahara Wealth Plus Variable Pricing
Below Average
Below Average
****
ICICI Prudential Advisor-Very Aggressive
Below Average
Below Average
****
Sundaram Balanced Reg
Below Average
Low
***
UTI Balanced
Low
Low
***
SBI Magnum Balanced
Below Average
Low
***
ICICI Prudential Top 100
Average
Below Average
***
Kotak 50
Average
Below Average
***
UTI Mastershare
Average
Below Average
***
UTI CCP Advantage
Low
Very Low
***
Sundaram Taxsaver
Above Average
Average
***
Tata Dividend Yield
High
Above Average
***
Sahara Wealth Plus Fixed Pricing
Below Average
Low
***
ING Balanced
Low
Very Low
***
Reliance Banking Retail
Very High
Very High
***
HDFC Taxsaver
Above Average
Average
***
HSBC Equity
Average
Low
***
Principal Balanced
Below Average
Very Low
***
BNP Paribas Dividend Yield
Average
Below Average
***
Reliance Equity Opportunities
Very High
High
***
SBI Magnum Equity
High
Average
***
HDFC Capital Builder
Above Average
Average
***
Franklin India Flexi Cap
Above Average
Average
***
Tata Index Sensex B
Below Average
Very Low
***
Reliance NRI Equity
High
Average
***
DSPBR Opportunities
Above Average
Below Average
***
Templeton India Growth
High
Average
***
Reliance Regular Savings Equity
Very High
High
***
Franklin Infotech
Average
Low
***
Birla Sun Life Buy India
Above Average
Below Average
***
ICICI Prudential Discovery
Very High
Above Average
***
SBI Magnum Multiplier Plus
High
Average
***
Reliance Growth
High
Above Average
***
UTI MEPUS
Average
Low
***
DWS Alpha Equity Regular
Above Average
Below Average
***
Tata Equity PE
Very High
Above Average
***
Sundaram Select Midcap Reg
Very High
High
***
Kotak Contra
Above Average
Low
***
UTI Transportation and Logistics
Above Average
Low
***
Kotak Opportunities
High
Average
***
ICICI Prudential Index Retail
Above Average
Below Average
***
HDFC LT Advantage
Above Average
Below Average
***
Reliance Tax Saver
High
Below Average
***
Kotak Equity FoF
Above Average
Low
***
SBI Magnum Taxgain
Above Average
Low
***
Baroda Pioneer Growth
Above Average
Below Average
***
ICICI Prudential SPIcE
Above Average
Low
**
Principal Global Opportunities
Below Average
Unacceptable
**
Reliance Diversified Power Sector Retail
High
Below Average
**
UTI Banking Sector Reg
Unacceptable
High
**
ING Large Cap Equity
Above Average
Low
**
Reliance Vision
High
Below Average
**
Goldman Sachs Nifty ETS
High
Low
**
Escorts Balanced
Average
Very Low
**
ICICI Prudential Top 200 Inst I
High
Below Average
**
Sundaram Select Focus Reg
Above Average
Low
**
HDFC Premier Multi-Cap
High
Below Average
**
SBI Magnum Contra
High
Below Average
**
Baroda Pioneer Balance
Average
Unacceptable
**
LIC Nomura MF Balanced
Average
Unacceptable
**
HDFC Core & Satellite
Very High
Below Average
**
ING Core Equity
High
Low
**
HSBC India Opportunities
Above Average
Very Low
**
Birla Sun Life Mid Cap
Unacceptable
Average
**
Canara Robeco Nifty Index
Above Average
Very Low
**
SBI Magnum Pharma
High
Very Low
**
UTI Master Plus '91
Above Average
Very Low
**
Franklin India Index NSE Nifty
High
Low
**
Franklin India Index BSE Sensex
High
Very Low
**
Goldman Sachs Banking BeES
Unacceptable
High
**
Taurus Tax Shield
Very High
Below Average
**
Tata Tax Saving
High
Very Low
**
Tata Index Nifty Plan A
High
Very Low
**
UTI Nifty Index
High
Very Low
**
UTI Master Value
Unacceptable
Average
**
ICICI Prudential Top 200
Very High
Low
**
DSPBR Technology.com Reg
High
Low
**
Sahara Mid-Cap Fund
Unacceptable
Average
**
UTI Equity Tax Savings
Above Average
Very Low
**
ICICI Prudential Tax Plan
Very High
Below Average
**
BNP Paribas Equity
High
Very Low
**
Tata Ethical
Very High
Below Average
**
ICICI Prudential Infrastructure
Very High
Low
**
ICICI Prudential ChildCare-Gift
Very High
Low
**
Principal Index
High
Very Low
**
SBI Magnum Index
High
Very Low
**
Birla Sun Life Index
High
Very Low
**
Principal Dividend Yield
High
Very Low
**
LIC Nomura MF Index Nifty
Above Average
Unacceptable
**
Sundaram S.M.I.L.E. Reg
Unacceptable
Average
**
ICICI Prudential Technology
Very High
Low
**
Tata Index Sensex Plan A
High
Very Low
**
DWS Investment Opportunity Regular
Very High
Low
**
SBI Magnum Global
Unacceptable
Below Average
**
IDFC Classic Equity Plan A
High
Very Low
**
Birla Sun Life Equity
Very High
Low
**
LIC Nomura MF Index Sensex
Above Average
Unacceptable
**
Tata Growth
Very High
Very Low
**
Birla Sun Life Tax Plan
High
Very Low
**
HDFC Index Nifty
High
Very Low
**
LIC Nomura MF Sensex Advantage
Above Average
Unacceptable
*
Tata Equity Opportunities
Very High
Low
*
DSPBR T.I.G.E.R. Reg
Very High
Very Low
*
HDFC Index Sensex
High
Unacceptable
*
L&T Opportunities
Unacceptable
Low
*
SBI Magnum Emerging Businesses
Unacceptable
Below Average
*
SBI Magnum COMMA
Very High
Very Low
*
L&T Midcap
Unacceptable
Low
*
Taurus Starshare
Unacceptable
Low
*
UTI Mid Cap
Unacceptable
Low
*
Franklin India Prima
Very High
Very Low
*
Canara Robeco Emerging Equities
Unacceptable
Low
*
Tata Infrastructure
Very High
Very Low
*
Franklin India Opportunities
Very High
Very Low
*
Goldman Sachs Nifty Junior BeES
Unacceptable
Low
*
Morgan Stanley Growth
Very High
Very Low
*
Principal Personal Tax Saver
Unacceptable
Very Low
*
Birla Sun Life Tax Relief 96
Unacceptable
Very Low
*
JM Balanced
High
Unacceptable
*
Kotak Mid-Cap
Unacceptable
Very Low
*
UTI Infrastructure
Very High
Unacceptable
*
UTI Services Industries
Very High
Very Low
*
Birla Sun Life Advantage
Very High
Very Low
*
Sundaram Growth Reg
Unacceptable
Very Low
*
L&T Growth
Very High
Very Low
*
LIC Nomura MF Growth
Very High
Unacceptable
*
Reliance Media & Entertainment
Unacceptable
Very Low
*
SBI Magnum IT
Very High
Very Low
*
SBI Magnum MultiCap
Very High
Unacceptable
*
Escorts Growth
Very High
Unacceptable
*
Birla Sun Life India Opportunities
Very High
Unacceptable
*
Birla Sun Life New Millennium
Very High
Unacceptable
*
LIC Nomura MF Opportunities
Very High
Unacceptable
*
LIC Nomura MF Tax Plan
Very High
Unacceptable
*
Baroda Pioneer ELSS 96
Very High
Unacceptable
*
LIC Nomura MF Equity
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
Escorts Tax Plan
Very High
Unacceptable
*
ING Midcap
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
Taurus Bonanza
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
ING Tax Savings
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
Principal Tax Savings
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
Principal Growth
Very High
Unacceptable
*
ICICI Prudential Midcap
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
SBI Magnum Midcap
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
Taurus Discovery
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
HSBC Midcap Equity
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
JM Equity
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*
JM Basic
Unacceptable
Unacceptable
*